14 minute read. Written for first-time and move-up buyers in San Diego County — and for the people who keep getting conflicting advice from the internet.
The short version
- The 30-year fixed averaged 6.71% nationally in Freddie Mac’s survey dated September 3, 2026 — up from 6.66% the prior week, and up from 6.50% a year ago.
- San Diego County inventory has climbed to roughly 6,400 active listings, about 3.2 months of supply — the most since 2019. Homes are taking a median of ~28 days to sell.
- More inventory and slower days-on-market means you have something buyers here have not had in five years: time to think.
- The 2026 conforming loan limit for San Diego County is $1,104,100. Above that you are in jumbo territory, which is a different underwriting conversation.
- The single biggest mistake I see is doing these steps out of order. Financing first, house second. Not the reverse.
Who this guide is for
I have been writing shorter pieces on individual parts of this process for a while now — down payments, affordability, condo financing, jumbo limits. This is the piece that puts them in order, because the questions I get most often are not really about any one step. They are about sequencing. People want to know what to do first.
This is for you if you are buying in San Diego County in the next twelve months and you want the actual mechanics rather than encouragement. I am a mortgage loan officer, not a cheerleader. Some of what follows is going to sound less exciting than what you read elsewhere. That is intentional.
Step 1: Understand what the 2026 market actually is
There is a version of the San Diego market that lives in people’s heads, and it is roughly 2021. Multiple offers, waived everything, decisions made in an afternoon. That market is over. It ended gradually enough that a lot of buyers never updated.
Here is what replaced it. Inventory countywide is around 6,400 listings with about 3.2 months of supply, the healthiest that number has looked since 2019. The median home is sitting roughly 28 days before it goes pending. Neither of those figures describes a frenzy. They describe a market that has come back toward balance.
What that means practically: you can see a house twice. You can order an inspection and actually read it. You can ask for a credit. You can walk away from a bad one and there will be another. None of that was reliably true three years ago.
It does not mean prices are collapsing. They are not. It means the negotiating posture has shifted, and buyers who are still bracing for a bidding war tend to overpay out of reflex.
A note on price data: you will see wildly different “San Diego median price” figures depending on the source, because different outlets measure the city versus the county, and all-property-types versus single-family only. I am deliberately not quoting one here. Days on market and months of supply are more honest indicators of what you are walking into.
Step 2: Get your financing sorted before you look at houses
This is the step people skip, and it is the one that costs them.
Looking at homes before you know your financing is like shopping without knowing whether you have fifty dollars or five thousand. It is not just inefficient — it is actively harmful, because you will fall for something outside your range and everything affordable will feel like a downgrade afterward.
What you actually want is a fully underwritten pre-approval rather than the thirty-second online version. The difference matters: a real one means an underwriter has looked at your income documents, your assets, and your credit before you write an offer, instead of after. In a market where listing agents are again scrutinizing offers, that letter carries weight a soft credit pull does not.
Start here: begin a pre-qualification. It takes about ten minutes and it costs nothing.
Step 3: Work out what you can actually carry
There are two different numbers here and conflating them is expensive.
The first is the maximum a lender’s guidelines will allow. The second is the payment you can carry without resenting your house. These are rarely the same number, and the gap between them is where financial stress lives.
I walk through the arithmetic in detail in how much house can you afford in San Diego, but the short version is that your payment is four things stacked: principal and interest, property taxes, homeowners insurance, and — in most of the county — HOA dues or Mello-Roos. In newer developments the last two can be several hundred dollars a month, and buyers routinely forget to include them until they are deep into escrow.
Do this part on paper before you fall in love with anything.
Step 4: Figure out the down payment
The twenty-percent rule is the most persistent myth in this business. It is not a requirement. It never was. It is a threshold at which mortgage insurance drops off, which is a real benefit but not an entry fee.
Conventional financing goes down to 3% for qualifying buyers. FHA sits at 3.5%. VA, for those who have earned it, can go to zero. Each of those has trade-offs in monthly cost and in how competitive your offer looks. I break the options down in what down payment you actually need in San Diego.
The honest framing is this: a smaller down payment gets you in sooner at a higher monthly cost. A larger one costs you liquidity you might want for the roof. Neither is automatically correct, and anyone who tells you otherwise without seeing your numbers is guessing.
Step 5: Decide what you are actually buying
Detached house, condo, or townhome is not only a lifestyle question. It is a financing question, and in 2026 it is a bigger one than it used to be.
Condo financing tightened meaningfully this year. Lenders are looking harder at HOA reserves, deferred maintenance, litigation, and the percentage of units that are rentals. A building that financed easily in 2022 may not today, and buyers find this out late — sometimes after they are in contract. If a condo is on your list, read what changed in 2026 condo financing before you write an offer, not after.
And if you are shopping above $1,104,100 in San Diego County, you have crossed into jumbo territory. Different guidelines, usually more reserves, often a different rate structure. The 2026 jumbo limits post covers the thresholds.
Step 6: Write the offer
With more inventory, offer strategy has changed. The reflex to strip every contingency and bid over asking made sense in 2021 and makes very little sense now.
Two things worth understanding before you write:
Seller credits versus price reductions. When a seller has room to move, buyers usually ask for a lower price. Depending on your situation and how long you plan to hold, a credit applied toward buying down your rate can be worth more per dollar than the same amount off the price. It depends on your time horizon, and the math is not intuitive. I ran the comparison in rate buydown vs. price reduction.
Appraisal risk. In a market with real price movement, appraisals occasionally come in under contract price. This is not the end of the transaction. There is a formal process for challenging it, and it works more often than most buyers assume — see the reconsideration of value playbook.
Step 7: Get through escrow without creating your own problems
Most escrow failures I see are self-inflicted, and they follow a pattern. Between offer acceptance and funding, do not:
- Open a credit card, finance furniture, or buy a car. Your debt-to-income ratio is re-checked before funding.
- Change jobs, go from salaried to self-employed, or take a pay structure change, without telling your loan officer first.
- Move large sums between accounts without documentation. Underwriters need to source deposits, and an unexplained transfer stalls files.
- Go quiet. If something in your life changes, tell me the day it happens, not the week before funding.
None of these are dramatic on their own. All of them have delayed closings.
The realistic timeline
| Stage | Typical time | What actually drives the delay |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-qualification | Same day | How fast you send documents |
| Full underwritten pre-approval | 2–5 business days | Self-employment, rental income, gift funds |
| House hunting | 3 weeks – 4 months | How specific your criteria are |
| Offer to acceptance | 1–7 days | Counteroffers, competing bids |
| Escrow to funding | 21–35 days | Appraisal scheduling, HOA docs, condo review |
Condo purchases run at the long end of that escrow window more often than detached homes, mostly because HOA documentation arrives on the HOA’s schedule rather than yours.
When NOT to buy right now
I would rather lose a transaction than put someone in a house that breaks them. There are situations where waiting is the correct answer:
- You are likely to move within two to three years. Transaction costs on both ends are real. On a short horizon, renting frequently wins outright.
- Your income is about to change and you know it. A pending job change, a business you are about to start, a partner going back to school. Qualify on stable income, not on income you are hoping for.
- The purchase would leave you with no reserves. If closing empties the account, the first repair becomes a credit card balance. In San Diego, that first repair often arrives with the first serious rain.
- You are buying because you feel behind. That is the worst reason on the list and the most common one I hear. The market will still be here.
Frequently asked
Is it better to wait for rates to drop? Nobody knows where rates go, including people who sound very confident about it. The 30-year averaged 6.71% in the September 3 survey, 6.66% the week before, and 6.50% a year ago — the pattern of the last year has been movement in both directions rather than a trend. What I can say is that the cost of a rate is changeable later and the price you pay is not. If rates fall meaningfully, refinancing is a conversation. If prices rise while you wait, that is permanent.
How much do I need in cash beyond the down payment? Plan on closing costs of roughly 2–3% of the purchase price, plus whatever reserves your loan program requires, plus a genuine cushion for moving and immediate repairs. Sellers do sometimes cover part of the closing costs — that is negotiable, and more negotiable now than it was.
Does a pre-approval hurt my credit? A mortgage inquiry has a small, short-lived effect, and multiple mortgage inquiries inside a shopping window are typically treated as one event by scoring models. Shopping is not penalized the way people fear.
Can I buy with student loan debt? Frequently, yes. What matters is the monthly payment relative to your income, not the balance. Large balances on income-driven plans are treated differently than people expect.
Should I use the listing agent’s lender? You are never required to. Compare. It is one of the few decisions in this process that is entirely yours and costs nothing to make carefully.
The order, one more time
Financing first. Budget second. Property type third. Then look. Then offer. Then protect the file until it funds.
Buyers who follow that order tend to close on time and stay comfortable afterward. Buyers who start at “look” tend to end up in one of two places — outbid on something they could not afford, or in a house with a payment they quietly resent. I have watched both, many times.
Start with the number, not the listing
Before you tour a single home, find out what you can comfortably carry in today’s market. It takes about ten minutes and there is no cost or obligation.
Start your pre-qualification →
Prefer to talk it through first? Book a call with me →
More on individual pieces of this in the buyer guide and on the blog. If you are buying this fall specifically, I wrote about the seasonal window most buyers miss.
Ron Berg — The Berg Group, powered by C2 Financial Corp. I have spent my career explaining mortgage mechanics to San Diego buyers who were tired of being sold to.
Ron Berg, NMLS #974839. C2 Financial Corporation, NMLS #135622. Equal Housing Opportunity. Rate figures cited are national averages published by Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey and are not an offer, quote, or commitment to lend. All loans are subject to underwriting review, and terms available to any individual borrower will depend on that borrower’s complete financial profile and the property involved. This article is general education, not individualized financial, tax, or legal advice.

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